https://seekingalpha.com/article/4412178-wall-street-breakfast-market-mentality

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Over the weekend, the Senate passed a $1.9T coronavirus relief bill that contains $1,400 stimulus checks for many Americans, $300/week more in jobless benefits, as well as aid for state and local governments. The measure is expected to pass in the Democratic-held House on Tuesday. It would then be sent to President Biden's desk before a March 14 deadline to renew unemployment aid programs.

"With the Senate's passage, we expect growth momentum to accelerate and forecast global GDP growth will surge to a 7.5% annualized rate in the middle quarters of the year," JPMorgan wrote in a research note. "Every $1T of fiscal stimulus adds around $4-$5 to EPS, implying 6-7% upside for the remainder of the year."

Outlook: This time around, investors are getting worried about a sharp acceleration in inflation, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising another 5 bps overnight to 1.6%. Contrast that with a stock market where bulls were rooting for another big stimulus package during the push-and-pull negotiations at the end of the Trump administration. In fact, stock futures are pointing to another fall to start the week, particularly in the tech space, where high-growth valuations have been underpinned by low rates: Dow -0.3%; S&P 500 -0.8%; Nasdaq -1.9%

Thought bubble: While many are concerned about inflationary effects, the Fed has been vocal that it has no immediate plans to tighten monetary policy. In fact, its main worry doesn't appear to be inflation, but rather the damage done to the labor market by the pandemic. The last time the U.S. had a bad bout of sustained price increases was in the 1970s, when its economy was more insulated from the world, it depended on foreign oil and ended the Bretton Woods system that rendered the dollar a fiat currency. That picture looks much different today, and since the 2008 financial crisis, the U.S. economy has even struggled to achieve its inflation goals. (32 comments)